Security Concerns Rise in Mexico Ahead of 2026 World Cup Matches in Guadalajara

Heightened security concerns have emerged in western Mexico following reports surrounding Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, widely known as “El Mencho,” the alleged leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG).
The development comes just months before Guadalajara, the capital of Jalisco state, is scheduled to host matches during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Guadalajara is expected to stage four matches in June 2026, including one featuring Mexico’s national football team. Authorities anticipate that up to three million visitors could travel to the region during the tournament period.
Guadalajara: Concerns Over Potential Cartel Instability
Security analysts say the situation raises concerns about possible instability within the cartel’s leadership structure and the broader impact on regional security.
Historically, leadership changes within major criminal organizations in Mexico have sometimes resulted in internal power struggles. Analysts point to recent tensions within the Sinaloa Cartel following the 2024 capture of Ismael Zambada García, also known as “El Mayo,” which led to uncertainty over succession.
According to Mexican security analyst David Saucedo, a similar scenario could unfold within CJNG, depending on how leadership transitions are managed. However, he also noted that internal agreements among senior figures cannot be ruled out.
Even in cases where agreements are reached, experts caution that tensions between criminal groups and state authorities may still intensify.
Government Response and Security Measures
Mexico’s Security Secretary, Omar García Harfuch, stated that authorities are closely monitoring the situation and reinforcing security measures in the region.
Officials have emphasized that preparations for the World Cup remain on track, with enhanced coordination between federal, state, and local security agencies expected in the months leading up to the tournament.
Large-scale international events such as the World Cup typically involve comprehensive security planning, including increased police presence, intelligence coordination, and crowd management strategies.


